2021 John Deere Classic Betting Preview/Player Props

Golf Previews

The PGA Tour heads to Silvis, Illinois, for the John Deere Classic. Players will need to step up their game across the 7,250-yard course. 

This event was not played in 2020, so 2019 was the last time that players competed here. Dylan Frittelli took hold of this event back in 2019 and was able to score in bunches with birdies. 

Tournament Details

  • Date: Jul 8–11, 2021
  • Course: TPC Deere Run
  • Watch on: CBS, GOLF
  • Purse: $6,200,000

Betting Overview 

Just like the Rocket Mortgage Classic recently, players will need to be able to convert birdie putts and have strong driving shots. Iron play will also be needed, especially with golfers that typically are not heavy hitters with their drivers. 

Head to Head Matchup to Watch 

Daniel Berger    (-25.735) and Brian Harman (-26.047) make an interesting duo. Berger is arguably the best golfer in this field for the week, while Harman is not far behind. 

Harman, the 46th best-ranked golfer, is coming off of a fifth-place tie at the Travelers Championship. Berger comes in ranked as the 16th best golfer in the world and will have a lot of pressure on him to perform.  

Dunkel Index For This Event 

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following 10 are:

  1. Daniel Berger | -25.735
  2. Brian Harman | -26.047
  3. Hank Lebioda | -28.699
  4. Seamus Power | -29.306
  5. Cameron Davis | -29.619
  6. Russell Henley | -29.691
  7. Kevin Streelman | -29.839
  8. Steve Stricker | -30.249
  9. Zach Johnson | -30.703
  10. Jhonattan Vegas | -30.999

*index is subject to changes 

Golfers That Could Win 

Cameron Davis | (-29.619): leads the field in strokes gained average and his ability to convert those long hits to birdie putts. However, it is not a matter of him losing but rather the field catching up to him with whoever has the hot hand. 

Russell Henley | (-29.691): returns to this course since his runner-up finish in 2019. Due to the weaker field, you could see him explode here with a nice score just like he did back then. 

Zach Johnson | (-30.703): has the ability to take hold of this event. As we have seen in the past, his ability to finish is a top-five contender. However, will he be able to perform this time around?

Potential Winning Pick 

Hank Lebioda | (-28.699): has two straight top-five finishes in recent tournaments. You could argue that Lebioda has the best momentum heading into this event. 

When he competed at the Travelers Championship, there were moments that he could have taken off by storm. In the end, he came up short but still walked away with nearly a victory. 

Looking at his overall game, he is in prime condition and has shown that he is more than capable of placing within the top five. Will this finally be the time for him to land a victory?

Player Props

Top 10 Finish: Brian Harman (+175)

Harman took the John Deere Classic back in 2014 and is enjoying one of his best seasons so far this year.

The 34-year-old lefty out of Georgia has nine Top-15 finishes since August of 2020. That includes a tie for 5th in his last tournament at the Travelers and a tie for 19th at the US Open. He comes into this week ranked 9th on the Tour in scoring average (69.941).

Rated No. 2 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we like Harman (+175) to keep the hot streak going and finish in the Top 10.

Top 20 Finish: Hank Lebioda (+225)

Another lefty, we took Lebioda last week to finish in the Top 20 and were rewarded with a tie for 4th. That makes it back-to-back Top 5s for the first time in his career. It also vaulted him into the Top 100 in the FedEx standings and over the $1 million mark in earnings – both career firsts.

A disappointing finish kept him from claiming the championship at Rocket Mortgage, but we still like his solid play to continue this week. Rated No. 3 in the Dunkel Index, we’ll stick with Lebioda (+225) to chalk up another Top 20 finish.

Top 30 Finish: Seamus Power (+130)

Like Lebioda, Power has snuck up the rankings with a hot stretch that includes four consecutive Top 20 finishes. He put together another strong effort last week in Detroit as the 34-year-old out of Ireland finished tied for 8th.

Now ranked No. 140 in the FedEx standings, he needs to reach No. 125 to regain a full PGA Tour card. That’s plenty of incentive to keep Power focused again this week.

Rated No. 4 in the Dunkel Index, we’ll look for Seamus (+130) to avoid a Power outage this week and finish in the Top 30.


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