2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Betting Preview

Golf Previews

The PGA TOUR continues with the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM sporting an impressive field with ranked golfers such as Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, and Paul Casey.

The PGA TOUR arrives at Pebble Beach to host the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. The field has 156 players with several ranked golfers such as Dustin Johnson, Patrick Cantlay, Phil Mickelson, Paul Casey, Daniel Berger, Jason Day, Rickie Fowler, and Francesco Molinari.

Date: Feb 11–14, 2021
Course: Pebble Beach Golf Links and others
Watch on: GOLF, CBS
Purse: $7,800,000

Betting Overview

This tournament is usually spread across three golf courses, with the cut after three rounds. But the Pro-Am competition was removed for this year due to COVID-19, so only two golf courses (Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill) will be used and cuts after two rounds.

This is a very short course, so approaches to the green are more important to look at in terms of success rather than hammering off the tee. It is also composed of smaller greens, so Pebble Beach is arguably a second-shot golf course.

Out of the last 24 rounds, Dustin Johnson and Will Zalatoris lead the pack for the best approaches to the green. Also, every winner of this event since 2006 has a top-21 finish in a previous appearance.

It is no secret that Pebble Beach is indeed a favorite to golfers that have figured out how to play here. With that being said, Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, J.B. Holmes, Kevin Streelman, and Jason Day have had the best 24 round totals with strokes gained. 

Dunkel Index For This Event

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following 10 are:


1 Dustin Johnson 6.398

2 Patrick Cantlay -6.095

3 Si Woo Kim           -11.903

4 Francesco Molinari -14.033

5 Paul Casey      -14.238

6 Daniel Berger  -14.338  

7 Jim Furyk        -16.290  

8 Cameron Davis -16.505

9 Jordan Spieth  -16.876

10 Will Zalatoris   -17.397

*index is subject to changes  

Golfers That Could Win 

Dustin Johnson (6.398)

Johnson has four victories out of his last eight worldwide events in addition to recent play at last week’s Saudi International on the European Tour. He is also a two-time AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am champion.

Paul Casey (-14.238)

Casey has had recent performances of T-12 or better in each of his last two starts with worldwide events. This also includes an eighth-place finish with last month’s play at The American Express. 

In the last 12 rounds for Casey at Pebble Beach, he had gained a respected +1.48 shot per round. He is a premier ball-striker who has a chance here. 

Patrick Cantlay (-6.095)

Cantlay recently came in second (-22 score) at The American Express tournament. He is arguably the only ranked golfer closest to Johnson that could be a favorite to win. He has all the tools to make this tournament very interesting. 

Potential Winning Pick 

Dustin Johnson (6.398)

DJ has won here twice (2009 and 2010), a runner-up in 2018, and has seven top-five finishes all-time at Pebble Beach. He is arguably a massive favorite in a weaker field of only six players that crack the top fifty in the World Golf Rankings. 

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