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2021 Ally 400 Betting Preview/Prop Play

NASCAR Previews

The next NASCAR race takes place in Nashville, Tennessee at the Nashville Superspeedway. This race is quite unique since a lot of drivers have never raced here before. 

Race Details

Date: Sunday, June 20, 2:30 PM

Watch on: NBCS

Track: Nashville Superspeedway

Betting Overview 

This event will be interesting to see who comes out on top. There is not a lot of information on previous races since many of the Cup drivers have not raced here before. 

The last time that a race took place here was about a decade ago, so no data or trends to follow. The most comparable race to this one is Darlington, so look for drivers that competed well there and who is running hot right now. 

Head to Head Matchup to Watch 

Kyle Larson (116.688) and Martin Truex Jr. (122.289) are market favorites for this race. If this race is anything like Darlington, then Truex has a real shot to overpower Larson. 

Truex won by a lot there and looks very appealing for market odds now. Larson will definitely not allow that to happen again, so this should be a competitive matchup. 

Dunkel Index For This Event 

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 drivers that could win this event. The following 10 are:

  1. Kyle Larson    116.688                                                                                                     
  2. Alex Bowman    119.348                                                                                                     
  3. Chase Elliott    119.523                                                                                                     
  4. Kyle Busch    121.281                                                                                                     
  5. Martin Truex Jr    122.289                                                                                                     
  6. Joey Logano    122.316                                                                                                     
  7. Danny Hamlin    123.540                                                                                                     
  8. Brad Keselowski    123.724                                                                                                     
  9. Ryan Blaney    123.770                                                                                                     
  10. William Byron    124.409                                                            

*index is subject to changes 

Drivers That Could Win 

Since Darlington is a close comparison, you will see how some drivers performed there. Joey Logano (122.316) finished 13th at Darlington last month. 

Ryan Blaney (123.770) is another solid choice here, but he has not completed a top-five finish since his latest victory 10 races ago. He could be a wild card here. 

Brad Keselowski (123.724) is another driver to watch and see if he can change here. He only has two top 10 finishes when looking at his latest 11 races. 

William Byron (124.409) could sneak in quite nicely here. He arrives at this race with a top 10 finish at every event, excluding road courses and Daytona. He also finished fourth at Darlington, so he could be a steal here.

Fans keep waiting for Chase Elliott (119.523) to break out here. He has compiled five top-five finishes when looking at his most recent six starts, which include four consecutive top-three finishes.

Potential Winning Pick 

Kyle Larson (116.688) has been red hot with five consecutive top-two finishes along with three straight victories. This also includes a second-place finish at Darlington in May. 

Larson will be hard to ignore this time around if this race is indeed close to Darlington. Given the competition between Truex, you could see him place top five or better for this event.  

Prop Play

Best Finish Group C: Austin Dillon (+180)

Since joining the NASCAR circuit full time in 2010, Dillon is enjoying his best season yet. Heading into last weekend’s All-Star Race, in which he finished 19th, the No. 3 car had an average finish of 13th in his 16 races.

Among those were one Top 5, six Top 10s and 14 Top 20s. A team that was noted for meltdowns in the past is suddenly running competitively every week this season. And Dillon has shown he can come back from the back of the pack as he ranks in the Top 10 in quality passes (8th) and green flag passes (5th).

The 31-year-old also has fond memories of racing in Nashville, where he won the last Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series race there in 2011 and followed that up with a 3rd place finish in the last Xfinity Series race the following day.

Rated No. 12 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll take Dillon (+180) to keep his turnaround season going and finish ahead of Kurt Busch (No. 17), Matt DiBenedetto (No. 20) and Ross Chastain (No. 21) in Group C.

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