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Guardians vs. Tigers Game 3 of the AL Wild Card Series Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 2

02 October 2025 By Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers take the field for Game 3 of the AL Wild Card Series at Progressive Field, on Thursday at 3:08 p.m. ET, with the series tied 1-1. The winner will advance to the ALDS. Slade Cecconi (7-7, 4.30 ERA) will start for the Guardians, and Jack Flaherty (8-15, 4.64 ERA) is starting for the Tigers.

Sportsbooks have made the Guardians a decent moneyline favorite (-128) at home over the Tigers (+108). The total in this contest is set at 7.

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, October 2, 2025
  • Game time: 3:08 p.m. ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field
  • Favorite: Guardians (-128)
  • Underdog: Tigers (+108)
  • Over/under: 7

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Guardians vs. Tigers: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Guardians have been favored on the moneyline 73 total times this season. They've finished 46-27 in those games.
  • Detroit has come away with 24 wins in the 51 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season Cleveland has won 31 of its 44 games, or 70.5%, when favored by at least -128 on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have a mark of 9-14 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have a 56.1% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians vs. Tigers: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 162 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-87-9).
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 83 of its 164 opportunities.
  • The Guardians have covered 53.1% of their games this season, going 86-76-0 against the spread.
  • The Tigers are 73-91-0 against the spread in their 164 games that had a posted line this season.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Guardians vs. Tigers

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