Baylor vs. Kansas State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big 12 Tournament

The No. 7 seed Baylor Bears (18-13, 10-10 Big 12) are 5.5-point favorites in the Big 12 Tournament when they meet the No. 10 seed Kansas State Wildcats (16-16, 9-11 Big 12) on Wednesday at T-Mobile Center, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's point total is 137.

Baylor heads into this matchup after a 65-61 loss to Houston on Saturday. In Baylor's loss, VJ Edgecombe led the way with a team-high 23 points (adding five rebounds and two assists). In its most recent game on Tuesday, Kansas State earned a 71-66 victory over Arizona State. Coleman Hawkins' team-high 26 points paced Kansas State in the win.

Baylor vs. Kansas State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 12, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Baylor -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Baylor -264
• Moneyline underdog: Kansas State +213
• Over/Under: 137 points

How to watch Baylor vs. Kansas State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Baylor vs. Kansas State

• A total of 22 of Baylor's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 137 points.
• In Kansas State's 32 games this season, 22 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's over/under of 137.
• Together, the two teams combine for 148 points per game, 11 points more than the over/under of 137 for this game.
• This game's point total is two fewer points than the 139 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2023.
• On average, Baylor has had a 146.1-point over/under in its games this season, 9.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 3.9 points lower than the average over/under in Kansas State's games this season (140.9 points).

Betting the Spread: Baylor vs. Kansas State

• In Baylor's 30 games this year, it has 10 wins against the spread.
• The Bears have an ATS record of 6-7-1 in their 14 games when favored by 5.5 points or more so far this season.
• Kansas State has 17 wins against the spread in 32 games this season.
• This year, the Wildcats have an ATS record of 5-4 in their nine games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
• At home this season, Baylor is 8-7 against the spread and 12-3 overall.
• As a 5.5-point favorite or greater at home, Baylor is 6-6 ATS.
• Away from home, Kansas State is 7-5 against the spread, and 3-9 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Baylor vs. Kansas State

• Baylor has entered the game as moneyline favorites 20 times this season and won 17, or 85%, of those games.
• The Bears are 11-1 this season when entering a game favored by -264 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 72.5% chance of a victory for Baylor.
• Kansas State has been victorious in six, or 35.3%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Wildcats have been victorious two times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +213 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Kansas State has a 31.9% chance of pulling out a win.